Handicapping the field – Fukuokadai Oohori (4th appearance, 1st in 26 years)

Handicapping the field – Fukuokadai Oohori (4th appearance, 1st in 26 years)

(photo courtesy of Daily Sports)

Road to Haru Koushien

Regionals – Minami “B” Block

  • def Nanchiku 10-1 (7 inn)
  • def Ogoori 11-0 (5 inn)
  • def Kyushu Sangyoudai Kyushu 6-2
  • def Fukuoka Seiryou 6-3

Prefecturals

  • def Jiyuugaoka 4-0
  • def Chikuyou Gakuen 10-5
  • def Toukaidai Fukuoka 11-2

Super-Regionals

  • def Oita Shougyou 6-0
  • def Kagoshima Jitsugyou 2-0
  • def Shigakukan 5-0
  • def Toukaidai Fukuoka 4x-3

Meiji Jingu

  • def Meitoku Gijyuku 2-0
  • lost Waseda Jitsugyou 4-6

Who would’ve thought that a Fukuoka team would have won the Kyushu super-region? The same Fukuoka prefecture who despite a large population has years and years of futility? And who would have thought that the team to do it would be a Tier 3 school of all things in Fukuokadai Oohori, and that they’d actually make a game of it against Waseda Jitsugyou?

So? How did they do it?

Well, you don’t shut out as many teams as they did without pitching, right? Well, their “championship or bust” ace is Miura Ginji (三浦 銀二).  From the video he generally sits in the mid 130s, but can turn it up to 140. He has a slider and changeup in the 120s and a curve hovering around 100. His combined line for the super-regionals and Meiji Jingu tournament was the following:

  • 6 CG, 9 ER, 38 H, 51 K, 16 BB for a 1.50 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 8.50 K/9, 2.667 BB/9, 3.188 K/BB

Against the competition shown, those numbers are pretty darned good. Especially when you take into account he struck out 9 in the Waseda game. He did walk 4 and gave up 12 hits as well, but it was on 0 days rest – though you could argue that he’ll have to do that eventually if his team is to win. That might be the only hangup for Miura, the condensed schedule if they move to the final.

Remember how I was mentioning with Meitoku Gijyuku how the offensive numbers went down when they went to Meiji Jingu? One of their players actually had a better line at Meiji Jingu. He is C Koga Yuuto (古賀 悠斗). His lines were:

  • Super-Regionals – 4-13, 2 RBI
  • Meiji Jingu – 5-8, 2B, HR, 2 RBI

But the thing is, the offense as a whole was rather anemic relatively speaking:

  • *48-184, 7 2B, HR, 24 K, 24 BB for a 0.261/0.323/0.315 team line.

*I was unable to find XBH data for the Oita Shougyou game.

If we take out Koga and Miura’s numbers the lines get significantly worse. So this is a case where Miura will need to shoulder a majority of the burden. Not that they can’t score runs, but they probably can’t survive a high scoring game. If they have to score more than say 5 runs, they could be in trouble. But the good news is that they have an ace that could carry them all the way, which is more than many teams who are going to qualify could say.

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